Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Syria's Relationship with Neighboring Countries


This article grabbed my attention on the International Institute for Strategic Studies’ website.  

Syria and its Neighbors breaks down Syria’s relationship to its other neighboring Arab countries- Iran, Iraq, Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and Israel- and outlines their positions as the revolution within Syria unfolds. The reoccurring theme in this piece is that, in contrast to the air of “resilience and surprising longevity of the Bashar al-Assad regime” that its neighboring countries have become accustomed to over time, Syria presently finds itself in a vulnerable position, “exposed to external predatory ambitions, sectarian-fuelled intervention and attempts to change its strategic orientation” due to the budding revolution happening within its borders, and developing course toward civil war (Hokayem 7). 

What I found most interesting is the author’s highlighting of Turkey’s position, as an important player in relation to Syria, because I hadn’t thought of its geographical and political influence in the Middle East. Turkey has already taken action toward international diplomacy to get Assad to cooperate (by imposing sanctions, which is not something the United States has the sole power to do, and accepting Syrian refugees). Apparently Turkey’s location is advantageous in regards to military action, which would be essential if Gulf States were to take to arming and supporting Syrian opposition (10). I am all for peaceful solutions, but geographically this maneuver does make sense, especially considering Turkey’s proximity and consequential involvement in the situation in Syria. This is just one to the possibilities given, and just for Turkey.

The events occurring in Syria, which in itself is a product of the Arab Spring, not only effects its own government. All neighboring countries have potential to benefit and/ or withstand injury from the Syrian governmental regime’s weakened state. Yet, Syria has the potential to survive the conflict. I agree with the author in that the outcome will depend on the maneuvers made by its neighbors.

I like that this article admitted the Syrian Assad regime as being vulnerable instead of being portrayed under its usual administration of control and order. I also like that it also doesn't talk about what the U.S. has to lose or gain for a change, but analyzes other Middle Eastern countries and their part in resolving this issue.


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